Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 12.687553 14.131919 15.690415 17.499775 19.545995 21.792200 24.449924
2025-08-03 10.439497 12.383681 14.633894 17.441773 20.866864 24.928136 30.136729
2025-08-10 8.735686 10.938925 13.648598 17.251183 21.952507 27.930249 36.187468
2025-08-17 7.423779 9.748204 12.764346 17.008521 22.896566 30.879440 42.697779
2025-08-24 6.434963 8.814273 12.053297 16.851372 23.891625 34.022200 50.031504
2025-08-31 5.682892 8.085606 11.501510 16.805000 25.000727 37.469360 58.431540
2025-09-07 5.192731 7.654469 11.299394 17.215598 26.822275 42.245405 69.794600
2025-09-14 4.659310 7.084983 10.807523 17.093481 27.764937 45.755233 79.731231
2025-09-21 4.161057 6.505316 10.220321 16.721835 28.215995 48.484016 88.799211
2025-09-28 3.784872 6.073348 9.811414 16.579194 29.017727 51.924174 99.854788
2025-10-05 3.590918 5.916098 9.832788 17.174816 31.220406 58.282511 118.010846
2025-10-12 3.407095 5.753181 9.820710 17.699916 33.358954 64.868037 138.107543
2025-10-19 3.190096 5.515081 9.659136 17.945273 35.035842 70.922874 158.739951
2025-10-26 2.934767 5.181658 9.287255 17.735176 35.758084 75.112032 176.115443
2025-11-02 2.698613 4.859487 8.901020 17.445148 36.267810 78.935868 193.612059
2025-11-09 2.486949 4.562334 8.530540 17.138417 36.693389 82.651627 211.844125
2025-11-16 2.309937 4.314534 8.230358 16.940799 37.335256 87.009905 233.055463
2025-11-23 2.163757 4.113152 8.001879 16.868850 38.260184 92.254065 258.336378
2025-11-30 2.075496 4.019199 7.983600 17.264323 40.382264 101.021273 296.953198
2025-12-07 1.947739 3.832135 7.749511 17.130947 41.158414 106.337780 326.294284
2025-12-14 1.811311 3.614771 7.428638 16.751498 41.238885 109.736932 350.336526
2025-12-21 1.705756 3.453636 7.214935 16.604138 41.913239 114.992931 382.630305
2025-12-28 1.663637 3.425686 7.295693 17.197766 44.721112 127.259659 445.121572